Week 10 Games With Huge Playoff Implications – Class 2A
With only one week left in the regular season, the playoff race is all but decided for a few teams/districts. For most teams, however, their seeding could be affected in a huge way, positive or negative, by the results of…
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Continue ReadingWith only one week left in the regular season, the playoff race is all but decided for a few teams/districts. For most teams, however, their seeding could be affected in a huge way, positive or negative, by the results of this week’s games. Many districts are up for grabs, and in a year like this where the playoffs have been expanded and seeding determination has changed due to COVID scheduling issues, finishing high in your district may be more important than ever. There are games not listed here that may have some smaller implications on playoffs, but these are the top few in 2A that could shake up the brackets in a big way. Some of these scenarios have a lot of moving parts and are somewhat complex, try your best to stick with me and I’ll do my best to explain everything.
Disclaimers:
- All rankings next to teams are based on their district ranking coming into this week
- Records by each team are based on district play only unless specified otherwise.
- Some districts are doing coaches polls (Coaches Rankings) for playoff seeding, some are using a modified version of the normal district standings (Modified Criteria), and a few are determining playoff seedings manually (Manual), meaning it is business as usual with district points
Class 2A
District 1 (Coaches Rankings)
With cancellations across the district, OCS has this district locked up at 6-0. There is some potential room for shifting at the bottom thanks to the expanded playoffs this year, but other than that this district is all but decided in most spots. #2 Luther and #3 Perry both only have 1 district loss, but the two teams were unable to play each other due to Covid, and Luther has played one extra district game (which they won), putting them ahead in the coaches rankings. Luther plays #5 Hennessy (2-2) and Perry plays Community Christian in an out of district game, so unless Hennessy can upset Luther, Perry is likely to stay at #3.
District 2 (Modified Criteria)
#3 Chandler (3-2) vs #5 Prague (1-1)
This district is mostly decided but still has a slight chance to shift at 3 and 4. With #1 Millwood (4-0) and #2 Jones (3-1) playing the bottom 2 teams in the district this week, it is safe to say that they will stay put at their respective slots. Additionally, with Chandler’s victory over #4 Kellyville (3-3) last week, and with Kellyville playing an out of district game this week, it would take a massive blowout from Prague over Chandler for Kellyville to have a shot at finishing 3rd in the district. Possible, but not likely.
District 3 (Coaches Rankings)
#1 Washington (4-0) vs #3 Christian Heritage (4-1)
Since #2 Community Christian (4-1) is playing out of district this week, and with Christian Heritage having one more district game than Washington, this game essentially becomes a district title game. Washington has been dominant this season, with their only loss overall coming to 4A Newcastle. On the other side, Christian Heritage has not been as dominant, but they have still been impressive with their only losses overall coming to undefeated OCS, 3A Mount St Mary, and a one-point loss to Community Christian. Washington will certainly be the favorite in this one, but Christian Heritage is more than capable of pulling off the upset, which could send Washington down as far as 3rd in the rankings depending on how the coaches vote.
District 4 (Coaches Rankings)
#2 Frederick (3-1) @ #4 Davis (3-2)
With #1 Marlow (6-0) playing winless Tishomingo this week, it is nearly impossible for them to not win this district. Frederick has been dominant this season up to the 28-12 loss they suffered against Marlow 2 weeks ago, and Davis has been up and down as they have looked great in their wins, but not so much in most of their losses. If Frederick wins they will take 2nd in the district and Davis will stay at 4. If Davis pulls off the upset they have the opportunity to jump up to #2 depending on the way current #3 Lindsay (3-2) looks against Commanche (1-3), as this district will be seeded by the coaches.
District 5 (Modified Criteria)
This district is unlikely to shift much at all barring some serious upsets. Both #2 Vian and #3 Spiro only have one loss in district, but they play teams that have 1 or 0 district wins this week, so it is unlikely that either lose. The only possible matchup of substance is #1 Cascia Hall (5-0) against #4 Keys (3-3), but even that game will heavily lean in favor of Cascia Hall.
District 6 (Modified Criteria)
#1 Eufala (5-0) @ #4 Antlers (3-3) | #2 Idabel (5-1) @ #3 Atoka (4-1)
This is one of the few districts in 2A that does not have a shoo-in champion coming into this week. Eufala has been dominant all year and will be favored big over Antlers, but Antlers has hung tough with the best of them in 2A-6 as they only lost to Atoka and Idabel by a combined 8 points. With there being so many moving parts to these matchups, I’m just going to list out all the possible scenarios and the results of those scenarios.
Eufala win and Idabel win: Eufala wins district and the top 4 stays the same
Eufala win and Atoka win: 1st: Eufala (6-0) 2nd: Atoka (5-1) 3rd: Idabel (5-2) 4th: Antlers (3-4)
Antlers win and Atoka win: due to district point differential: 1st: Eufala (5-1) 2nd: Atoka (5-1) 3rd: Idabel (5-2) 4th: Antlers (4-3)
Antlers win and Idabel win: 1st: Idabel (6-1) 2nd: Eufala (5-1) 3rd: Atoka (4-2) 4th: Antlers (4-3)
District 7 (Modified Criteria)
#2 Beggs (4-1) vs #3 Victory Christian (4-1)
With #1 Metro Christian (5-0) vs Haskell canceled, there’s really not a scenario where either of these teams jump ahead into 1st, but this game will decide 2nd and 3rd. This game has the makeup to be as close as they come as both teams have cruised through their district schedules outside of losses to Metro Christian. On offense, outside of their losses, neither team has scored below 42 points in a district game. And on defense, outside of their games against Kiefer and Metro, no district opponent has scored more than 20 on their defenses. This will be another strength on strength matchup across the board that will most likely come down to the wire.
District 8 (Modified Criteria)
#1 Adair (6-0) @ #2 Sequoyah (5-0) | #3 Sperry (4-1) @ #4 Rejoice Christian (3-2)
Adair and Sequoyah are the only teams out of the 4 with a shot at the district title, but there is still a lot to be settled in terms of 2-4. Here are all the possible scenarios.
Adair win and Sperry win: 1st Adair (7-0) 2nd: Sperry (5-1) (depending on average marginal points due to their game with Sequoyah being canceled) 3rd: Sequoyah (5-1) 4th: Rejoice Christian (3-3)
Adair win and Rejoice Christian win: 1st: Adair (7-0) 2nd: Sequoyah (5-1) 3rd: Sperry (4-2) (depending on marginal points or other tie-breakers) 4th: Rejoice Christian (4-2)
Sequoyah win and Sperry win: 1st: Sequoyah (6-0) 2nd: Adair (6-1) 3rd: Sperry (5-1) 4th: Rejoice Christian (3-3)
Sequoyah win and Rejoice Christian win: 1st: Sequoyah (6-0) 2nd: Adair (6-1) 3rd: Sperry (4-2) (depending on marginal point difference or other tie-breakers) 4th: Rejoice Christian (4-2)